Archive for August 26th, 2014

Two new areas

Tuesday, August 26th, 2014

There are two new areas of concern from the NHC’s outlook of yesterday.

One area is already in the Gulf of Mexico and heading along the Texas coast towards the Mexican coast. Although there is only a ten percent chance of development of this system over the next five days, it will still bring a lot of showers to communities along both coasts.

The second is 97L, which I noted yesterday. The track trend is starting to bend towards the north, just as Cristobal’s did. It’s eventual path, according to the NHC, does look like it will pass the Georgia coast. This is a storm for next week.

And a third area is about to exit the west coast of Africa. As of the five day outlook, there is a 40 percent chance of more development over the next five days. This storm is so far to the east that I don’t believe it to be any threat to the Georgia coast.

And then Hurricane Cristobal. No threat at all to the U.S. east coast. But the ensemble models provided by the Weather Underground web site show the storm passing over Iceland in a week. On satellite, Cristobal has spread out quite a bit, joining a weather pattern hundreds of miles from north northeast to south southwest. The SSE tail of Cristobal look long enough to pass over Britain a day later.