Invest 95L

Lest anyone think that I’ve missed the ball on Invest 95L, I haven’t. I accidently posted a blog entry as a page. Here is what I wrote this morning:

What might be the next tropical storm system to threaten the Georgia coast may be beginning to form in the Atlantic ocean. The storm system, named Invest 95L, is located at 8 north, 37 west, or about 2,800 miles from St. Simons. As of the 8 PM discussion, the storm has a 1009 MB low.

At the moment, the NHC is giving the storm a 30% chance of further organization. A track map from Weather Underground shows that Invest 95L is heading towards the Florida east coast with a near brush in eight to ten days. Of course, the track will change, the only question I have at the moment is the direction and magnitude of the change.

I’d like to note that this post is being written on the desktop of my new Windows 7 machine, which is still being operated by remote desktop. I’m still waiting on the monitor.

As of the 8PM discussion from the NHC, Invest 95L now has a 70% chance of organizing. The environment is now labeled as “conducive to development.” This is a far stronger statement than what I saw this morning. The NHC expects the storm to be organized enough to become either a tropical depression or tropical storm by Monday morning. If Invest 95L becomes a tropical storm, it will be named Chantal.

For some good news, the track has shifted southward of Cuba. That’s a good trend as far as I’m concerned.

I’ll know much more tomorrow afternoon, as the Hurricane Hunters will be flying into the storm at that time.

Comments are closed.