Tropical Depression Four

Storm 96L has become organized to be considered a tropical storm. As of the 5 PM advisory, TD 4 had winds of 35 MPH and a central pressure of 1005 MB. The storm is quite ragged on satellite and is barely holding on to a TS status, but once past the Turk and Caicos Islands and in a better environment, it should gain organization and strength.

The intensity and track forecast is very uncertain at this point, so I’m very tentatively going to say that the closest approach of the storm will be as a category one hurricane about 400 miles off our coast by Thursday. That track will change. Some long term models show the storm passing between Iceland and Britain in about two weeks.

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