TS Erika and next Tuesday
Over the last 48 hours, the track of Tropical Storm Erika has trended towards the west. As of this morning’s 5AM track, Erika is forecast to brush the southeast Florida coast sometime Monday morning and pass Glynn County at around 8 AM next Tuesday as a minimal hurricane.
Mr. Brennen, the forecaster this morning, is very quick to point out that the error at the end of five days is plus or minus 240 miles. That means that the five day forecast is far from certain. I concur … in fact, I’ve been pointing that out on this blog for many years. With all that said, now would be a good time for residents of the Florida and Georgia coast to review their evacuation plans and update their hurricane kits.
As of the 5 AM advisory, Erika had winds of 40 MPH and a central pressure of 1003 MB. The storm is traveling west at 18 MPH.