New Disturbance Forming Over Florida
July was the quietest month I can remember since I moved here over 20 years ago. There were only two tropical waves that looked as though they might strengthen, as well as one disturbance just off the Florida coast. That might be changing.
As of 2 PM this afternoon, the NHC began tracking a new disturbance in Apalachee Bay, about 40 miles south of Tallahassee, Florida. This disturbance has only a ten percent chance of further intensification; however, its course is towards the northeast in the general direction of NE Florida and SE Georgia. In other words, coastal Glynn County. There is no track maps to show how fast the disturbance is moving.
As of 5 PM, the official forecast for Glynn County showed a 70 percent chance of rain. The point forecast has not yet been updated to cover the expected conditions, so there is no way to tell how much rain we will get before tomorrow. Seeing the local radar, I’d say we’re already under an outer rain band, and will have quite a lot of rain this evening, along with the usual chances of strange winds, tornadoes and heavy surf.