Cuba is going to get a double whammy over the next four days, first by Gustav, and then by Hanna.
Gustav has grown into a huge, powerful storm that will hit the United States early next week. Currently, Gustav has winds of 120 MPH and a central pressure of 955 MB. Hurricane force winds extend out 60 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds 160 miles. To give an idea of its influence, the Florida Keys are under a tropical storm warning and the clouds we see in our sky is outflow from Gustav.
Gustav is expected to gain strength to category four status before passing over the western part of Cuba, and then gain even more strength as it moves towards the Gulf Coast. The storm may then be moving into an area that is less conducive for strengthening, but it will still be a major storm.
Gustav is now forecast to have a landfall about 60 miles southeast of New Orleans at around 2 AM Tuesday morning. The track has stayed stable for the last 24 hours, but that’s no real indication. It might change later. The effects of Gustav will be felt much sooner, starting about 24 hours before the center passes over land. At landfall, Gustav is forecast to have winds of 130 MPH.
The worst part about this is that the storm will be southwest of New Orleans, meaning that the northeast quadrant, the most powerful, will be directly over the city for an entire day. Just what they need.
You should read the New Orleans local newspaper to find out more about evacuation plans.
The track forecast for Hanna now shows that, after a fairly shallow southward turn, the storm will pass directly over the middle of the island nation of Cuba. Hanna is forecast to be a minimal hurricane or even a strong tropical storm so there won’t be much wind damage. But rain could be a real factor for Cuban residents.
The area far to the east of us I noted a few days ago may be forming into a tropical depression. A storm that forms so far to the east (it’s raining on the Cape Verde Islands right now) usually starts a northern turn long before it approaches any coastline.