TD Danny and 98L
Danny has weakened to a tropical depression and may well dissipate within the next 72 hours. The storm is being sheared apart at higher altitudes. Even though the NHC is no longer publishing Danny’s exact position, the NHC is still providing a track of the storm. This track brings Danny south of Hispaniola by Wednesday, after which Danny will become a remnant low.
East of Danny, at 43 degrees west, is another storm, designated 98L. This storm has a very high probability of organizing, and might be declared as a tropical depression or storm sometime today. Its track is more worrisome than Danny’s, in that it’s forecast to curve towards the north just east of the U.S. coast. An average of the five models used show 98L passing us in about eight days at a distance of about 200 miles. If 98L is designated, it will be named Erika.